Illiquid Insights

The financial press and Substack have turned sharply negative on private credit.

Some are even claiming it could trigger a market crisis.

But the reality is a lot more measured.

Private credit is going through its first real stress cycle, not a systemic collapse.

Why Private Credit is Struggling:

  • Defaults are rising from artificially low levels

  • Heavy software exposure is facing AI uncertainty

  • Redemption pressure is testing illiquid fund structures

Read the full breakdown below.

On the Radar

Other articles worth your time this week.

Recovery Turbulence (S&P Global) - Loan recoveries in bankruptcy have declined as protections have weakened.

Opportunistic Credit (Davidson Kempner) - Strain in private equity and direct lending has increased the opportunity set for special sits credit.

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